Federal By-elections - Fall '13/Spring '14?

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terrytowel

At one point Elizabeth May toyed with the idea of running in Halifax (she is from Nova Scotia). But in the end decided not to because she didn't want to run against her close friend Alexa McDonough

Ottawa Centre-Left

There is rumour going around of a national profile 'star' candidate in the works for the NDP in Bourassa....

"Larry Rousseau will not be the sole candidate. Up to 5 candidates are interested and the NDP leadership is finalizing discussions with a big name, which refers to the internal "star candidate" well known even outside Bourassa. An announcement could take place next Tuesday, said, while noting that local members have the final say in the nomination."

http://www.lactualite.com/opinions/le-blogue-dalec-castonguay/dubourg-laraque-et-le-manque-de-jugement/

Stockholm

terrytowel wrote:

At one point Elizabeth May toyed with the idea of running in Halifax (she is from Nova Scotia). But in the end decided not to because she didn't want to run against her close friend Alexa McDonough

I wonder if that feeling is mutual... my understanding is that Alexa MacDonough LOATHES Elizabeth May and scoffed at how May described her as a "close friend".... but then again, May also claims that she is "close friends" with Bill Clinton - who probably would say "Elizabeth who???"

janfromthebruce

terrytowel wrote:

At one point Elizabeth May toyed with the idea of running in Halifax (she is from Nova Scotia). But in the end decided not to because she didn't want to run against her close friend Alexa McDonough

E. May moved from the USA with her family to Nova Scotia at age 18 - year 1972. So her formative years were USA centric.

Her family home is in Margaree Harbour, Cape Breton Island (and not Halifax). Although for 2 years she worked in Halifax, she moved to Ottawa in 1985, and lived there until she became elected leader of the Green Party of Canada in 2006. May resided most of her life in Canada in Ottawa, and not in Nova Scotia, and not in Halifax.

May can say whatever she wants now and in wiki, but she should have run in the riding she was from - how about a riding in the Ottawa area, if in fact she wanted to take on a high profile Conservative. Sorry the rest is bogus bull.

felixr

janfromthebruce wrote:

terrytowel wrote:

At one point Elizabeth May toyed with the idea of running in Halifax (she is from Nova Scotia). But in the end decided not to because she didn't want to run against her close friend Alexa McDonough

E. May moved from the USA with her family to Nova Scotia at age 18 - year 1972. So her formative years were USA centric.

Her family home is in Margaree Harbour, Cape Breton Island (and not Halifax). Although for 2 years she worked in Halifax, she moved to Ottawa in 1985, and lived there until she became elected leader of the Green Party of Canada in 2006. May resided most of her life in Canada in Ottawa, and not in Nova Scotia, and not in Halifax.

May can say whatever she wants now and in wiki, but she should have run in the riding she was from - how about a riding in the Ottawa area, if in fact she wanted to take on a high profile Conservative. Sorry the rest is bogus bull.

Like say, in cabinet member and previous environment minister John Baird's riding?

Brachina

felixr wrote:

janfromthebruce wrote:

terrytowel wrote:

At one point Elizabeth May toyed with the idea of running in Halifax (she is from Nova Scotia). But in the end decided not to because she didn't want to run against her close friend Alexa McDonough

E. May moved from the USA with her family to Nova Scotia at age 18 - year 1972. So her formative years were USA centric.

Her family home is in Margaree Harbour, Cape Breton Island (and not Halifax). Although for 2 years she worked in Halifax, she moved to Ottawa in 1985, and lived there until she became elected leader of the Green Party of Canada in 2006. May resided most of her life in Canada in Ottawa, and not in Nova Scotia, and not in Halifax.

May can say whatever she wants now and in wiki, but she should have run in the riding she was from - how about a riding in the Ottawa area, if in fact she wanted to take on a high profile Conservative. Sorry the rest is bogus bull.

Like say, in cabinet member and previous environment minister John Baird's riding?

 

 Perfect.

Brachina

 Wow lots of top tier candiates in TC and Broussa. An embarrassment of riches. I always found that a funny phase, why would someone be embarrassed to be rich.

Unionist

Brachina wrote:

I always found that a funny phase, why would someone be embarrassed to be rich.

Right, being rich is a point of pride. Unless some fucking socialist is trying to confiscate your wealth.

 

terrytowel

When Chrystia Freeland announced she was seeking the Liberal nomination, Jennifer Hollett cheerfully tweeted at her, “Welcome to the race @cafreeland Looking fwd to meeting you soon.” Freeland did not respond.

Stockholm

Looks like the latest high profile NDP nomination candidate in Bourassa is Stephane Moraille - a Haitian woman who is both a lawyer specializing in intellectual property and a former pop star who won a Juno award with the group Bran Van 3000 - sounds good to me - esp. since the Liberals are running such a dreadful candidate in Bourassa who is getting an avalnche of bad publicity over grabbing a $100,000 payment for quitting the national Assembly

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/juno-winner-seeks-ndp-nod-i...

 

Determinant

I saw Stephane Moraille's candidacy announced yesterday in La Presse.  Good catch.  The fact that she's a laywer is interesting.  Lawyers tend to congregate to the Liberals since they've been in power so often and that's the way to access judicial appointment patronage. That she chose to go with the NDP says which way the wind is blowing.

The fact that the Liberals are having such a dreadful time getting good candidates is really telling.  The same with Bob Rae's departure; if he thought the Liberals would win in 2015 he'd have stayed around as he'd be a shoo-in for Cabinet. 

David Young

I wonder if there's an old interview tape of Much Music V.J. Jennifer Hollett interviewing Stephane Moraille about Bran Van 3000's success in breaking into the American music scene with Drinking In L.A.

That would be something, wouldn't it?!

 

adma

Sounds like the half-generation-later version of early 80s L'Etranger footage.

nicky
Brachina

 I don't follow hip hop music, does anyone have any idea who this hip hop artish might be.

socialdemocrati...

Francophone hip hop, no less. Very much it's own scene.

This is my best guess:

http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jenny_Salgado#Apparitions_et_actions_sociales

knownothing knownothing's picture
Aristotleded24

So for Brandon-Souris, 3 candidates have lined up for the Conservative nomination:

Chris Kennedy, Merv Tweed's constituency assistant

Len Isliefson, city councillor

Larry Maguire, PC MLA for the seat of Arthur-Virden.

No word on who the NDP, Liberals, and Greens will nominate as their sacrificial lambs, I mean candidates. I expect they'll all be decided by acclamation.

Just a note on the Greens. There is a great deal of latent support for the Greens in Brandon, so whatever she said in the past, May will simply not pass on the opportunity to have a candidate here. Given the general protest nature of by-elections, I would not be surprised to see the Greens come in a (distant) second.

For the NDP, I think they should aim for about 30%. If Lethbridge can get 27% in a general election with no official support from the party, why can't Brandon do better?

janfromthebruce

Wilf is right, and another thing and this is after helping in by elections in Ontario this summer, is one goes in with a winning strategy and boots on the ground. London West in Ontario was discussed as not possible win for the NDP but guess what with the right candidate and campaign team, one can win and big.

Aristotleded24

Thanks Wilf. It's good to know that the NDP nomination will be contested.

Wilf Day

Aristotleded24 wrote:
No word on who the NDP, Liberals, and Greens will nominate as their sacrificial lambs, I mean candidates. I expect they'll all be decided by acclamation.

For the NDP, I think they should aim for about 30%. If Lethbridge can get 27% in a general election with no official support from the party, why can't Brandon do better?

Here's five reasons why the NDP candidate should be no sacrificial lamb.

1. In these four by-elections, Mulcair has nothing to lose, except second place in Brandon; that must be held. The Liberals came second there in 2004. Their 2011 candidate was a last-minute parachute.

2. If you want the NDP vote to increase from 25% in 2011 to 30%, some serious work will be needed. The last time the NDP even approached 25% was in 1980.

3. If the Manitoba NDP wants to hold on to Brandon East and even retake Brandon West, they cannot afford a lacklustre federal effort.

4. Rick Borotsik makes Brandon interesting: the last western PC MP, he beat Reform in 1997 and the Canadian Alliance in 2000, and endorsed the Liberals in 2004.

5. Beatrice Brigden would be very disappointed in you. 

clambake

Gotta say, I think it's fantastic Linda McQuaig and Jennifer Hollett are running for Toronto Centre. I remember watching Hollett on MuchMusic back in the day, and I didn't know she had such bonafide credentials and committment to social justice. It's too bad they're running against each other for the nomination, but I really hope they can both get elected as MPs in 2015 after the ridings are adjusted.

Wilf Day

Aristotleded24 wrote:
No word on who the NDP will nominate.

Cory Szczepanski.

John Bouché.

Both solid labour leaders. Of the 89,575 residents of Brandon-Souris, 46,061 live in urban Brandon, another 7,168 in its suburbs, another 12,647 in the small urban centres of Virden, Killarney, Souris, Boissevain, Carberry, Rivers and Melita, another 3,944 in the small towns and villages of Deloraine, Glenboro, Wawanesa, Elkhorn, Hartney, Oak Lake, Cartwright and Waskada, and 1,435 in Sioux Valley Dakota Nation and Canupawakpa Dakota First Nation, leaving 18,320 rural residents.

Some people might be surprised to see that Deloraine School (K-12) had a Pink Day ("On April 11, students and staff from kindergarten to grade 12 wore pink t-shirts as a symbol of our stand against bullying in Deloraine School. DayofPink is the International Day against Bullying, Discrimination, Homophobia and Transphobia in schools and communities"); and has a Social Justice Club

 

David Young

Harper will have to call the Bourassa by-election fairly soon if he's going to avoid the November 3rd date of Quebec municipal elections.

Not that I think he's in any hurry.  The Conservatives must love watching the Liberal/N.D.P. competition for Bourassa and Toronto Centre, hoping they'll waste as much time, money and effort in those campaigns as possible.  That's why I'm still thinking he'll wait untill almost the limit (December 2nd?), and then schedule all the by-elections for February or March, to keep the Liberal/N.D.P. competition going as long as possible.

Any news about candidates in Provencher, Arthur?

 

Brachina

I'm loving the Liberal in TC infighting.

Brachina

http://www.punditsguide.ca/2013/08/wide-open-conservative-nominations-de...

 A bielection update from Alice at Pundits Guide. The post has a link to her tweet coverage of the TYND debate as gather by Akin.

janfromthebruce

Quote from the above link:

After it was over, the Toronto YND met to consider whether to endorse a candidate and if so whom. Very quickly the announcement came that Linda McQuaig was their choice.

Earlier today, Jennifer Hollett received the endorsement of Ottawa Centre M.P. Paul Dewar, with whom she shares a passion for political organizing along the principles taught by Marshall Ganz.

The Toronto Centre NDP earlier scheduled their nomination meeting for Sunday, September 15, the same date since chosen by the Toronto Centre Liberals as well. It seems the Liberals don't want to give the NDP a free and clear day of media coverage in Toronto, though they've yet to finalize any details like a time or location, just the date.

Reading through the post it appears that Liberal riding association ensured that any additional members the other 2 lib candidates signed up can't vote to ensure that Trudope's elite parachute candidate wins - the one from the US and who grew up in Alberta. But it's a fair and open process - a la lib style. And planned a nom mtg the same say but no place and time. So petty but what does one expect from the not new and improved libs.

Brachina

janfromthebruce wrote:

Quote from the above link:

After it was over, the Toronto YND met to consider whether to endorse a candidate and if so whom. Very quickly the announcement came that Linda McQuaig was their choice.

Earlier today, Jennifer Hollett received the endorsement of Ottawa Centre M.P. Paul Dewar, with whom she shares a passion for political organizing along the principles taught by Marshall Ganz.

The Toronto Centre NDP earlier scheduled their nomination meeting for Sunday, September 15, the same date since chosen by the Toronto Centre Liberals as well. It seems the Liberals don't want to give the NDP a free and clear day of media coverage in Toronto, though they've yet to finalize any details like a time or location, just the date.

Reading through the post it appears that Liberal riding association ensured that any additional members the other 2 lib candidates signed up can't vote to ensure that Trudope's elite parachute candidate wins - the one from the US and who grew up in Alberta. But it's a fair and open process - a la lib style. And planned a nom mtg the same say but no place and time. So petty but what does one expect from the not new and improved libs.

 

 A divided Liberal Party in the riding will help the NDP to win.

janfromthebruce

exact3y B.

jerrym

The NDP needs a MP like Linda McQuaig who presents a left-wing point-of-view without seeming to have apologized for it while saying it. This defensive posture, which has existed since the Thatcher-Reagan revolution among most left-wing politicians globally, has greatly limited the appeal of the left on the world stage. In communication, one's confidence in what you are saying and body language are just as important, if not more so, as what one actually says. Furthermore, Linda knows how to get her message across clearly and succinctly. She will probably be labelled as radical, just as Thatcher and Reagan were in the 1970s until they gained power. 

Aristotleded24

jerrym wrote:
The NDP needs a MP like Linda McQuaig who presents a left-wing point-of-view without seeming to have apologized for it while saying it. This defensive posture, which has existed since the Thatcher-Reagan revolution among most left-wing politicians globally, has greatly limited the appeal of the left on the world stage. In communication, one's confidence in what you are saying and body language are just as important, if not more so, as what one actually says. Furthermore, Linda knows how to get her message across clearly and succinctly. She will probably be labelled as radical, just as Thatcher and Reagan were in the 1970s until they gained power.

Linda McQuaig for Prime Minister!

terrytowel

@ the Cabbagetown Festival this weekend the Toronto Center Conservative Riding Association set up a booth to spread the word they mean business for the upcoming by-election. Their booth was pretty empty, compared to the other booths which seemed to have a healthy crowd.

Maybe I went at a time when the Conservative crowd just left.

You think?

 

Aristotleded24

In Brandon-Souris, there are now 2 vying for the Liberal nomination. No word yet on the Greens, but I expect they will field a candidate.

nicky
David Young

How will the B.Q.'s expulsion of M.P. Maria Mourani in the neighbouring riding of Ahuntsic affect Bloc voters in Bourassa?

 

Brachina

 Hopefully.

Brachina

http://www.nationalpost.com/m/wp/news/blog.html?b=fullcomment.nationalpo...

 

 The above is an absolutely pathetic anayasis of the fallout from the expelling of Maria. Michael appears to believe that Mulcair's opposition to the charter will create major division in the cacus between the nationalist and federalists. I have seen nothing to suggest this and in fact the NDP is the most likely benifiary of dusillusioned Bloc voters in Montreal.

 Its nothing but rightwing wishful thinking. 

 I see opportunity coming in the bielectionth

Bluegreenblogger

@brachina, I read that article and it was pretty pathetic. I am not a dipper, but I know enough to say that racism is not a defining characteristic for sovereigntists. Why they would assume that all Quebec Sovereigntists would support the charter is beyond me, and then to assume that all sovereigntists who recently joined the NDP are racists.... It shouldn't have made it past the editor

socialdemocrati...

Yep. Completely evidence free analysis, courtesy of big media.

janfromthebruce

And I had a self identified Lib tweeter suggest the same thing as if every Quebecor who voted for the NDP in 2011 was a "separatist" and therefore racist and therefore in 2015, the NDP would lose votes because of it in Quebec. It appeared numeracy was not a strong point in that fluffy thought sequence.

David Young

I think the expulsion of Mourani will help the NDP in Bourassa.

Allophone voters now have a second option, instead of the default 'Liberal Red Door', that has been there for decades.

Could you imagine if Mourani resigned to run for Quebec Solidare in the next provincial election?  If she were to do that, Paille would look like a coward if he refused to run in that by-election, wouldn't he?

 

felixr

I don't get the sense Paille wants to run anywhere. Didn't he get parachuted into a safe riding when he ran provincially?

felixr

If Mourani resigns, maybe Brian Topp could run for her seat.

Aristotleded24
Brachina

Just check Linda McQuag on twitter, it seems that both Linda and Freeland won thier respective nominations, no surprise upsets. Linda was gracious and thanked both Hollett and Susan and said she had two new friends. And she's looking forward to debating Freeland, which honest I believe is partly, a large, part of why she wanted the nomination in the first place. I'm really looking forward to seeing the match. Really, really, really looking forward to seeing. I just hope it get posted to youtube.

Brian Glennie

http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/Candidates+make+their+pitch+Liberal+nomination+Toronto/8914421/story.html

"It's a question of reaching out, getting involved with those marginalized groups, listening to their concerns, bringing their concerns into our campaign and championing their causes," McQuaig said. "And if we do that I very much think we can bring them on to the NDP side."

That's a tired old argument, said former cabinet minister Bill Graham, who held the riding from 1993 until 2007. The New Democrats used it in every election campaign when he was the MP, and voters — both rich and poor — always proved them wrong, said Graham. "I find people in this riding are like everybody: they've got their own needs, but they also have a strong vision about what we should be as a country and as a people," he said. "And that's why I think the Liberal party, in the last 20 years, has represented this riding." As for the Liberals' ability to beat a high-profile NDP candidate, Graham said, "Do you think Jack Layton was a high-profile candidate?" "I beat Jack Layton in this riding," he said.

 

It would be pretty sweet to see Linda lay a pasting on these cocky, entitled assholes.

 

Brachina

 Yes, very much entitled assholes and I'm really rooting for Linda. She's the greater intellectual, the better speaker, home grown with deep roots in the riding, more compassionate, not phony the way Freeland is, amoung other assets.

 

janfromthebruce

Note that Graham was speaking and not Freeland. She offered platitudes. And it's at a tipping point now rather than acknowledge that it started under the liberals. Anyway, I read some reviews of Freeland's book. She doesn't offer solutions.

Plutocrats: An informative and frustrating book

But Plutocrats is a frustrating book to read. Freeland, who spent years as a journalist for the Financial Times, sees few alternatives and presents almost none in this book. Very early on the book she states “today, the evidence that capitalism works is clear, and not only in the wreckage of the communist experience.”

Because she takes for granted that capitalism and some form of market system is the only way the world can operate, the book’s main debate is how free should markets be.

Consequently, Plutocrats resides in a strange space where it chronicles in great detail the problems with today’s capitalist system and its recurrent crises, while simultaneously defending it tooth and nail.

snip

Much of the book is spent describing the 1% and 0.1% as self-made billionaires, who are innovative, mathematical geniuses who have the creative vision and talent to take advantage of changing situations. This becomes a bit too nauseating when you realize what her definition of self-made is (consider that she describes former Canadian Prime Minister Paul Martin as a “self-made multimillionaire”) and after about the millionth reference to the “knowledge economy”—while failing to acknowledge that the “creative genius” of the Steve Jobs of the world would be nothing without the thousands of Chinese and Filipino hands that actually build his iPods.

An aside here, as McQuaig is right when she stated that Freeland does not acknowledge how the Liberal govts setup the growing inequality starting with Martin (who was not self-made) but was a finance minister who flew his Canadian Shipping lines under a foreign flag so they didn't have to pay taxes, hire Canadian workers and pay them or contribute to CPP and so on.

Plutocrats: The Rise of the New Global Super Rich and the Fall of Everyone Else

Perhaps the chief virtue of Plutocrats is that, despite being a financial reporter with access to exclusive corridors of power, author Chrystia Freeland does an admirable job staying relatively neutral in her informative account of the “new virtual nation of mammon.”

snip

Freeland observes that the super rich are mostly individuals who found themselves at the right place at the right time, and she quotes a number of the more honest plutocrats, who confess to the important role luck has played in their success. But despite her critical conclusion, which focuses on the potential for today’s economic inequalities to calcify into a rigid new caste system, Freeland is reluctant to enter into a debate over the extent to which the current system can be called a meritocracy. Even more disappointing is the lack of discussion about the social benefit of what the “working rich” do for a living.

This, however, would enter into the kind of political argument Freeland wants to avoid. And while that limits her book somewhat, it doesn’t diminish the value of the fascinating and well-informed analysis she provides.

So it appears Freeland needed Martin to "fit into" her sloppy political analysis that all these men are self-made millionaires. Sure some are but Martin made sure that the millionaire/billionaire club had a global structure that ensured his inherited wealth was not touched and grew while pretending "we are all in this together".

Freeland wasn't about to bite the hand that feeds her and in which she has access to.

janfromthebruce

Of interest is what Freeland was upto on Labour Day 2013, September 1st. Going with the theme of not acknowledging workers or their labour, Freeland had better things to do. Sure hope labour unions take note in Freeland's priorities because they sure aren't about your work and standing together.

  1. Chrystia Freeland ‏@cafreeland 1 Sep

    #plutocrats! "@BuzzFeedBen: Kanye West will also play your wedding for 3 mil  http://www.buzzfeed.com/maxseddon/kanye-west-performs-at-kazakh-presidents-grandsons-wedding … via @BuzzFeed"

    View summary

  2. Chrystia Freeland ‏@cafreeland 1 Sep

    V sad. He's a genius! "@TIFF_NET: #StudioGhibli founder & renowned filmmaker Hayao Miyazaki announces retirement  http://ow.ly/osAl6  "

    Expand

  3. Mark Cuban ‏@mcuban 1 Sep

    Will the Internet Destroy the Stock Market? - @HarvardBiz http://blogs.hbr.org/cs/2013/08/will_the_internet_destroy_the.html …

    Retweeted by Chrystia Freeland Expand

  4. Chrystia Freeland ‏@cafreeland 1 Sep

    Awesome to spend some time with @G_Smitherman meeting people in Regent Park pic.twitter.com/jhsTZPj0zX

    View photo

  5. Chrystia Freeland ‏@cafreeland 1 Sep

    See you in a minute! "@JentzenMShea: At Regent Park Aquatic Centre for meet and greet with @cafreeland and @G_Smitherman"

Brachina

 http://www.punditsguide.ca/2013/09/toronto-centre-nominations-23-differe...

Some interesting stuff, of special note the NDP raised 10,000 dollars at the nomination, which over half of the ndps election spending in the last election in the riding I believe, the energy was 100% that of the Liberals, and according to the comments 380 dippers were in attendance compared to 420 libs, which is a much smaller gap then 1200 lib members vs. 800 dippers.

 

 I'm looking forward to Sptememer 25th to see who carriers the NDP banner in Broussa.

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