Party stats historical vote percentage of eligible voters rather than of votes recieved interesting

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Sean in Ottawa
Party stats historical vote percentage of eligible voters rather than of votes recieved interesting

When we consider the percentage for each party of eligible electors we get some interesting trends. I looked at the last 30 years. I added the PC to the reform party for the purpose of calculations. Some of the vote has stayed home some gone to smaller parties but the trends away from the big parties is clear.

This shows that the first past the post system is deteriorating as a useful method of arriving at representative government as we have more parties. also shows the decline in real numbers of the traditional parties and a partial recovery of the NDP from the 1990s lows but showing how far remains to go to be at 1980s levels.

 

The percentage of people who voted for the Government.

Trend is down but not smoothly.

2008 22.14

2006 23.47

2004 22.37

2000 26.18

1997 25.77

1993 29.23

1988 32.39

1984 37.67

1980 30.73

1979 27.17 (opposition Liberals got more 30.36%)

 

The percentage who voted for either the Liberals or the Conservatives (including PC Alliance and Reform). Trend is clearly down over most of the 30 year period. Overall a loss of about 1/3 of their support.

2008 37.58

2006 43.03

2004 40.41

2000 50.33

1997 51.36

1993 53.86

1988 56.43

1984 58.76

1980 53.22

1979 57.53

 

The percentage who voted for either the Liberals, the Conservatives (including PC Alliance and Reform) or the BQ. Trend is clearly down over most of the second half of the 30 year period with a loss of almost 1/3 since 1993 or about 20% since the3 start of the period. This shows that the trend away from the big parties is not all explained by the rise of the BQ.

2008 43.45

2006 49.81

2004 47.96

2000 57.20

1997 58.51

1993 63.44

1988 56.43

1984 58.76

1980 53.22

1979 57.53

 

The percentage who voted NDP. The trend is of course indicating the big dip of the 1990s but recovery to the highs of 1988 has not been completed. In fact since 1993 the NDP has not managed to match the lowest result it received between 1979 and 1988 and is garnering about the same level of support it did when the party was formed in 1960.

2008 10.69

2006 11.31

2004 9.55

2000 5.45

1997 7.40

1993 4.88

1988 15.35

1984 14.16

1980 13.70

1979 13.53

1974 10.96

1972 13.67

1968 12.83

1965 13.40

1963 10.49

1962 10.72 (first election contested by the NDP)

1958 7.55 (last election before the CCF became the NDP)

 

The percentage who voted Liberal. The trend shows a fall for the Liberals since 1993 that is much steeper than it was during Mulroney’s period.

2008 15.44

2006 19.56

2004 22.37

2000 26.18

1997 25.77

1993 29.24

1988 24.04

1984 21.09

1980 30.73

1979 30.36

 

The percentage who voted Conservative (including Alliance and PC). The trend, interestingly, shows a fall for the Conservatives, even as they govern, to numbers below 1993.

2008 22.14

2006 23.47

2004 18.04

2000 24.15

1997 25.59

1993 24.62

1988 32.39

1984 37.67

1980 22.49

1979 27.17