2016 Presidential election campaign

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NorthReport
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Florida

Democrats

Clinton - 62%

Sanders - 35%

Republican

Cruz - 16%

Kasich - 7%

Rubio - 24%

Trump - 48%

Ohio

Democrats

Clinton - 

Sanders -

Republican

Cruz - 

Kasich - 

Rubio - 

Trump - 

 

 


NorthReport

Trump has close to 50% of the vote in a 4-way race in Florida's WTA primary which means Trump just picked up 99 delegates in Florida, and the other three, zero delegates.

NorthReport

Ohio - Exit Polls

Clinton 53%

Sanders 46%

 

NorthReport

Ohio

Kasich 

Trump

 

North Carolina 

Trump 52%

Cruz 30%

Clinton 64%

Sanders 34%

 

Florida

Clinton - 67%

Sanders - 31%

NorthReport

Trump & Clinton leading in Ohio - very early

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Still plenty of time for Sanders and Cruz supporters to not really change anything.

NorthReport

Rubio's out - another casualty of Trump's wrecking ball.

NorthReport
josh

Clinton wins Florida, North Carolina and Ohio. Illinois and Missouri are close with a possible Sanders edge.

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Quote:
Florida Senator Marco Rubio says 'not God's plan for me to be president'

Weird-ass magic-speak like that is exactly why I'm not upset to see Trump take it.  Sure, he's a bully, and a jerk, and lots of other things too, but when he wins he doesn't thank Jesus for His holy blessing.

josh

Mr. Magoo wrote:

Quote:
Florida Senator Marco Rubio says 'not God's plan for me to be president'

Kudos to God.

NorthReport

Republicans In Chaos As Failed Speaker Paul Ryan Can’t Get Conservatives To Pass Budget

 

http://www.politicususa.com/2016/03/15/paul-ryan-either-conservatives-re...

NorthReport

 

--

josh

Looks like Clinton may have won all 5 states. She leads in Missouri by 0.2 percent with only a couple of precincts left. Won Illinois 51-49. For all intents and purposes, she's wrapped up the nomination. Trump is close to doing the same thing. Looks like he'll win 4 of 5 states, with him also holding a 0.2% lead in Missouri.

josh
josh
NorthReport

So Americans may be voting for one of the 2 most unpopular candidates at the same time ever in their presidential election.

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Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Maybe it's just a failure of imagination on my part, but I can't even imagine what a viable third party in the U.S. would look like.

I sometimes wonder how many U.S. voters could reasonably be called "swing" voters.  Just to have a working definition, let's say a "swing" voter has an 80% chance or less of voting for whichever party they voted for or supported last time, and a (real, genuine) 20% or better chance of voting for the other party. 

If I had to wildly guess, like this was a jellybean contest, I'd guess that fewer than one in five voters would even consider betraying all that is good and holy by committing treason against "their" party.

NorthReport

I think many voters don't want political parties, period.

The GOP has said the Republican party, and not the voters chooses their nominee.

The Democrats do the same with their superdelegate BS process.

-----------------------------

Get used to this. 

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/272332-trump-on-c...

NorthReport
Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

Quote:
I think many voters don't want political parties, period.

Really?

I'm only asking because I've always had the sense that in the U.S. it's the party, not the person.  Not that they don't care at all, but as I kind of suggested above, I wonder how many Republicans would consider voting Democrat if they don't get the Republican nominee they prefer.  It's hard, sometimes, not to see it as some sort of weird hangover from the Civil War.

NorthReport

A few observations:

1 - Clinton will not be getting Elizabeth Warren's endorsement, as long as Sanders stays in the race.

2 - The GOP is a group of extremists who, for 7 long years now, have tried to deny Obama's presidency, and Donald Trump is a direct result of this Republican extremism.

3 - It is going to take everything the Democrats have to stop Trump, and even that may not be enough to stop him, but if they have any hope of stopping him, they had better start now. 

 

 

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Trump could be formidable in November, warns former Obama campaign chief

By MATTHEW NUSSBAUM

Democrats should not underestimate Donald Trump, David Plouffe warned Tuesday night. 

Plouffe, who managed President Obama’s 2008 campaign and served as a senior adviser to the president, said Trump is a more dangerous candidate for Hillary Clinton than Sen. Ted Cruz.

“We’ve never seen anything like this in politics,” Plouffe told Fox News. “Democrats should not be popping champagne corks since Donald Trump is doing so well.”

The coalition of young people, minorities and women that twice sent Barack Obama to the White House should not be taken for granted, Plouffe said.

“It is the Obama coalition, it’s not the Democratic coalition or the Clinton coalition. It’s got to be earned,” he said.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-dem-primary-live-updates-and-results/...

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Good article

The 1 percent wins again: How entrepreneurship — supposedly the cornerstone of American society — favors the wealthy

http://www.salon.com/2016/03/20/the_1_percent_wins_again_how_the_wealthy...

NorthReport
bekayne

Poll puts Trump behind Clinton and Sanders in Utah. Trump really does put new states in play!

http://m.deseretnews.com/article/865650513/Poll-Utah-would-vote-for-a-De...

NDPP

Ahead of Divisive AIPAC Speech, Trump Claims To Be 'Most Pro-Israel'

http://www.timesofisrael.com/ahead-of-divisive-aipac-speech-trump-claims...

"Republican front-runner says he'll detail plan for peace deal with Palestinians at conference Monday: tells ABC he doesn't know any Jew who doesn't support reaching deal..."

 

On Israel's Influence: Gideon Levy (and vid)

http://therealnews.com/t2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&I...

"Never was it so easy to kill Palestinians - so little discussed. American legislators should know this. For god's sake, who is the superpower here? And who is in the pocket of whom here? How can it be possible? How can it be that administration after administration and candidates compete who will be more pro-Israel?"

 

bekayne

NDPP wrote:

Ahead of Divisive AIPAC Speech, Trump Claims To Be 'Most Pro-Israel'

http://www.timesofisrael.com/ahead-of-divisive-aipac-speech-trump-claims...

"Republican front-runner says he'll detail plan for peace deal with Palestinians at conference Monday: tells ABC he doesn't know any Jew who doesn't support reaching deal..."

Here are the details: "it will be a really great deal"

NDPP

Hillary Clinton Will Lose to Donald Trump  -  by Musa Al Gharbi

http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/03/18/hillary-clinton-will-lose-to-dona...

"...Polls be damned: if Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination, Donald Trump will win the presidency. Count on it."

NorthReport

At this point no one even knows for sure who the two candidates are going to be, let alone who will win.

NDPP

Why Israel Loves Donald Trump

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/03/donald-trump-israel-2016-...

"...The real estate mogul does not have a coherent position on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, except to break with decades of Republican orthodoxy and announce that he would be 'neutral'. His GOP rivals repeated that line endlessly, hoping it would blunt Trump's rise in the polls. It didn't.

Yet, a recent poll found Trump was by far Israel's favorite GOP candidate, and the second most popular overall. A plurality even thought he would be best at 'representing Israel's interests,' better than Hillary Clinton, with her decades of advocacy at the highest levels of government.

Those numbers could rise further still, after a spate of positive coverage in Israel's most widely read newspaper, Israel Ha Yom, owned by billionaire casino magnate Sheldon Adelson - a major force in both Israeli and American politics - is reluctantly embracing Trump.

All of this presents a major dilemma for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has worked for years to align Israel with the GOP. The party's presumptive nominee is now being spurned by the same establishment figures, men like Sens John McCain and Lindsay Graham, who make up Netanyahu's 'base' in Washington.

Trump has no emotional attachment to Israel. And his success has upended the long-held belief that Republican voters care deeply about a candidate's position on Israel. The thrice-married mogul, who once owned the Miss USA pageant has even received favorable coverage in the ultra-Orthodox media, one profile noted his Jewish business associates and the fact that his daughter keeps the kosher and observes the Sabbath.

His negative comments about Muslims don't hurt him in Israel, either..."

bekayne

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/3/20/1504102/-Anonymous-threatens-to-...

At the end, Anonymous gives Cruz an ultimatum. 

​”Have you heard of the expression “candy wrappers”? Do you recall visiting prostitutes? Mr. Cruz, we are now demanding you exit this race immediately or Anonymous will release all of the information that we have found. You’re so called underground acts that you think were done in the dark, will be brought out for all the public to see. It will be sent to every media outlet to publicize your disgusting behavior. We assure you it will go viral on every social media platforms in a matter of minutes.”

 

pir pir's picture

NDPP wrote:

Hillary Clinton Will Lose to Donald Trump  -  by Musa Al Gharbi

http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/03/18/hillary-clinton-will-lose-to-dona...

"...Polls be damned: if Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination, Donald Trump will win the presidency. Count on it."

Musa Al Gharbi is dreaming.  Each side of the Democrats tries to scare the other with Trump.  Ridiculous.  As if somebody who is disliked by 60% of his own party with huge unfavourables in the general electorate had any realistic chance.  There are not enough racist white men in the US to elect him, because he won't get any votes from Hispanics or Blacks.  Democrats have the demographic advantage, if they're scared enough they can outvote anyone else, and I am guessing they'll be scared enough of Hair Furor.  Heck, even Clinton with her own large unfavourables can beat him handily -- all the betting markets agree as well.

I guess after Michigan that ignoring the polls is gonna be a common refrain.  But just because they were wrong once in one state doesn't mean they're gonna be wrong in the general election.  I honestly cannot see how Trump could possibly win.  Yes, a portion of the Republican primary voters are angry, dumb, racist blowhards; that's not new, it's just in the open again now.  Yes, a portion of the electorate wants to stick it to the establishment.  But that's not the majority of the electorate, because it's neither a majority of the Republicans nor of the Democrats.  The majority isn't racist, sexist, and stupid enough to vote for the chaos candidate who happens to be a billionaire masquerading as the champion of the people.  Sanders voters will not rush off in droves to switch to Trump if Clinton wins the nomination; he is anathema to most of them.  Barring something totally unforeseen like a Clinton indictment in the 11th hour, I don't see how Trump can win.  And however much I dislke Clinton, that's not something on which I'd be betting either.

pir pir's picture

sorry, double.

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