2016 Presidential election campaign

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NorthReport

Wyoming is the next primary - why is no one on CNN or the other mainstream press taking about it, eh! Wink

Mr. Magoo Mr. Magoo's picture

...

Quoth the raven, "Never Mind".

NorthReport

Yes Clinton has the lead but she has to win New York, otherwise there would be a major shift in momentum towards Sanders. After all it is Clinton's home state. Obviously Clinton's campaign has seriously underestimated Sanders.

NorthReport
NorthReport
wage zombie

NorthReport wrote:

Sanders if he gets the chance needs to pick Warren as his VP nominee.

It won't be Warren.  Two old northeasters is not a diverse ticket.

I've been hearing more about Tulsi Gabbard

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5QJas7RMYHQ&feature=youtu.be

 

josh

NorthReport wrote:

Wyoming is the next primary - why is no one on CNN or the other mainstream press taking about it, eh! Wink


Caucus, actually. Which Sanders should win.

wage zombie

Wyoming's only got 14 delegates.

NorthReport

So who is Clinton going to pick for VP?

It seems the best strategy is usually one from the North and one from the South and I presume Clinton is now considered from the North so maybe she needs a Southern VP

My choice would be for her to pick another woman to really piss off all those angry whilte men in the GOP. Wink

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/who-would-hillary-clintons-vic...

NorthReport
NorthReport
robbie_dee

NorthReport wrote:

So who is Clinton going to pick for VP?

John Kasich.

NorthReport

Sanders wins again, this time Wyoming.

Is that 7 in a row now for Sanders?

NorthReport
NDPP

Clinton Cannot Win Election Without Blood Money: Analyst (and vid)

http://presstv.com/Detail/2016/04/08/459788/US-election-Hillary-Clinton-/

"Daniel Patrick Welch, also said that Clinton is almost the same as her Republican rivals. 'She is not all that much different from Ted Cruz or Donald Trump."

NorthReport
NorthReport
NDPP

Americans Cast A Vote of No Confidence To the Government of Today - Richard Wolff (and vid)

https://www.rt.com/shows/sophieco/338877-capitalism-system-americas-elec...

"The American election campaign is bringing the issues of inequality and economic dysfunction to the forefront. Leading economist Professor Emeritus at the University of Mass., Richard Wolff is on Sophie&Co

NDPP

Ted Cruz and the Zombie Pipeline  -  by Joyce Nelson

http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/04/08/ted-cruz-and-the-zombie-pipeline/

"Just when you thought the Keystone XL pipeline was dead, it has returned like a zombie, re-energized by Ted Cruz's surging campaign..."

NDPP

300+Arrested at 'Democracy Spring' Sit-In At US Capitol (and vid)

https://www.rt.com/usa/339192-democracy-spring-protest-capitol/

"Over 300 'Democracy Spring' protesters have been arrested on the steps of the US Capitol. Thousands of activists arrived in Washington after a 10-day, 140 mile march from Philadelphia to protest the role of money in politics.

'People are fed up with the system, they are fed up with corruption, and we want free and fair elections,' Cek Uygur, host of the TV show Young Turks and one of the participants in the protest told RT. 'This is a core American right..."

NDPP

Sanders & Trump: Gatekeepers Slam Door on Outsiders  -  by Finian Cunningham

https://www.rt.com/op-edge/339357-sanders-trump-gatekeepers-elections/

"Sanders and Trump may be at different ends of the political spectrum, but they have one thing in common. They are outside the Washington establishment..."

NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport

CNN, the Raw, Raw Clinton TV News Channel is hosting a Demo debate tomorrow nite.

NorthReport
NorthReport
NDPP

President Killary: Would the World Survive Hillary Clinton?    -  by Paul Craig Roberts

http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/04/13/president-killary-would-the-world...

"Hillary Clinton is a bought and paid for representative of the big banks, the military-security complex and the Israel Lobby. She will represent these interests..."

 

Hillary's 'I'm Not A Crook!' Moment  -  by Pepe Escobar

http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/04/13/hillarys-im-not-a-crook-moment/

"As the Battle of New York looms, an underground shadow war flirts with High Noon. The Deep State, anyway, knows, The Queen of Chaos is the ultimate neocon..."

NorthReport

9 most interesting moments of the Democratic debate
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/democratic-debate-top-moments-221983

NorthReport
NorthReport

Martin O’Malley may be out of the race, but the Twitterverse hasn’t given up on him yet.

The former Maryland governor made it into the top 10 most retweeted messages during Thursday's Democratic debate, according to a list released by Twitter on Friday.

O’Malley’s tweet calling on Hillary Clinton to release her Wall Street speech transcripts made it to No. 6 on the list.

“Said this in 2012 about @MittRomney's tax returns, I'll say it today: @HillaryClinton should release the Wall Street transcripts #DemDebate,” O’Malley tweeted.

 

 

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-dem-primary-live-updates-and-results/...

NorthReport

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NorthReport

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NorthReport

Release of Clinton’s Wall Street Speeches Could End Her Candidacy for President

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/release-of-clintons-wall-str...

NDPP

A Note on Hillary Clinton, the Queen of Chaos  -  by Diana Johnstone

http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/04/15/a-note-on-hillary-clinton-the-que...

"Where is the effective alternative to the War Party?"

Good question. Here too..

josh

NorthReport wrote:

Release of Clinton’s Wall Street Speeches Could End Her Candidacy for President

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/release-of-clintons-wall-str...


I don't get as exorcized over this as some Sanders supporters do. You would expect a paid speaker to try to ingratiate herself to the people paying her. The payments itself are the problem.

NDPP

Some tantalizing mention of Hillary's 'Ugly Canadian' friends like Stephen Dattels in the mining industry in this WSJ piece from 2015

http://www.wsj.com/articles/gifts-to-hillary-clintons-family-charity-are...

I read it once despite the paywall which seems to prevent a second viewing, perhaps others will be able to as well. If Harper was for GOP, JT is definitely a Hillary Dem supporter I'd say...

 

NDPP

Lee Fang: Dark Money and Lobbyists Serving as Superdelegates Could Decide the 2016 Race (and vid)

http://www.democracynow.org/2016/4/12/lee_fang_dark_money_lobbyists_serving

 

NorthReport

Hillary has a 73% chance of winning presidency and the Democrats have a 77% chance of winning the presidency.

Trump and the GOP not so much.

http://www.pivit.io/politics

NorthReport

Trust in the media is at an all time low

CNN political coverage is a good reason why

Yes Clinton is going to win the Democratic nomination, and yes she will probably become the next President as well and most thinking people know that

But CNN loses credibility when it becomes a cheerleader for Clinton as opposed to trying to report objectively on the election campaign

NDPP

Focus: New York Voting Fiasco Just the Warm Up For the November Game  -  by Greg Palast

http://readersupportednews.org/opinion2/277-75/36441-new-york-voting-fia...

"Am I saying the machine 'fixed' the election for Hillary Clinton...?"

 

Will Bernie's Burnout Lead To A New Movement? Maybe, Maybe Not.  -  by Glen Ford

http://blackagendareport.com/what-happens-after-bernie

"What's going to happen when Bernie endorses Hillary Clinton...?"

NDPP

Results of the East Coast Primary: Trump Wins All Five, Clinton Wins MD, DE, PA, CT: Sanders Wins RI

https://www.rt.com/usa/341046-east-coast-primary-results/

"Bernie Sanders has been treated terribly by the Democrats - both with delegates and otherwise. He should show them, and run as an independent!' - Donald J Trump

Debater

Trump may just be trying to stir up trouble among Democrats for his own benefit with that comment.

josh

Debater wrote:

Trump may just be trying to stir up trouble among Democrats for his own benefit with that comment.

Ya think?

Sanders almost won Connecticut, and still stands a good chance of winning in states like Oregon, West Virginia and even California.  But this thing, as it pretty much has been since the beginning, is decided.

NorthReport

You got that right josh.

--------------------------------

Trump on a glide path (since mid-March)

The race has been stable for weeks, varying only by factors that are local to each state. Last night’s voting confirmed that – there was nothing new revealed. In terms of voter sentiment, the GOP race has been essentially unchanged since March.

How do we know this? Two reasons. The first is that national polls have beenstable for four weeks, since March 22. The second is the remarkable success of a predictive method based on Google Correlate, which relies solely on past voting and web search patterns – and does not use polls or demographics at all. Here is how PEC and N.‘s Google Correlate method did (click to enlarge):

PEC, using a simple approach based on polls and border counties, did well. So did Google Correlate, when its results were fed through the delegate rules process.

Even more remarkable is the Google Correlate-based estimate of vote share. The chart below uses Google Correlate-based predictions based on data excluding the candidates’ home states, and combines both Democratic and Republican primaries:

I’ll update this as more information becomes available, especially if I can find demographics-based predictions. At this moment, the closest thing I have is “538 demo,” which indicates an early estimate made by FiveThirtyEight assuming some kind of state-by-state constant shift. Google Correlate did notably better.

The “media data pundit” state-of-the-art is is demographics, which can give some predictive information, for instance in this year’s Democratic nomination. However, this year’s multicandidate Republican race has seemingly not lent itself well to such an approach.

http://election.princeton.edu/2016/04/27/trump-on-a-glide-path-since-mid...

NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport

Josh Putnam ‏@FHQ  2h2 hours ago

Josh Putnam Retweeted Joe Trippi

Pretty close to the 60-40 referenced here last June.  http://ow.ly/4n9lW6 

Josh Putnam added,

Joe Trippi @JoeTrippiTracking Democratic Primary popular vote. As of last night @HillaryClinton has received 57.5% to Bernie's 42% & leads by 3,166,000 votes.2 retweets1 likeReply

 

NorthReport
  1.  2 retweets1 like Reply  Retweet 2 Like 1  More
  2. Josh Putnam ‏@FHQ  13h13 hours ago

    The Republican race has been on this track since March 15. Despite all the "momentum" that hasn't changed.

    View conversation 2 retweets1 like Reply  Retweet 2 Like 1  More

  3. Josh Putnam ‏@FHQ  13h13 hours ago

    Trump may be beating expectations tonight, but consistent with the trajectory of this thing.  http://ow.ly/4n8nO8  

 

Policywonk

Astounding (or maybe not so astounding) that Cruz was being even more idiotic than Trump yesterday:

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/apr/27/ted-cruz-carly-fiorina-ru...

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/apr/27/no-anti-war-candida...

When your opponent is making a mistake, it makes no sense to take the attention away from them.

 

 

NorthReport

Cruz' policies are worse than Trumps but not by much. but Trump is more electable than Cruz

Let's see what happens now that it's a wrap for Trump and Clinton during this period of desire for change. 

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections/donald-tru...

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