PQ in power -- polls, policy and power in QC

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DaveW
PQ in power -- polls, policy and power in QC

 

since the previous QC polling thread took as its assumption some election late this year, now nixed through at least spring 2014, may be best to start afresh;

as The Gazette's Macpherson says, CAQ's heistation could keep PQ afloat for quite a while:

http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/Macpherson+Another+months+government...

 

 

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Regions: 
DaveW

[...] the Coalition Avenir Québec party, which holds the balance of power in the Assembly, will be in no position to force an election in the foreseeable future.

Support for the CAQ is collapsing. In their projections based on the latest public poll results, Bryan Breguet’s Too Close To Call website gave the Coalition only five seats, and Éric Grenier’s ThreeHundredEight.com only one.

That means almost all the CAQ’s 18 present MNAs would lose their seats in a general election.

When party leader François Legault founded the Coalition in 2011, he gave himself 10 more years in politics to apply his program (he had previously spent 11 years as a PQ minister and MNA until he resigned in 2009).

But with the CAQ nowhere close to forming the official opposition, let alone a government, the 56-year-old millionaire might be tempted to get it over with and go down to honourable defeat on an issue of his choosing.

Most of his MNAs, however, might not be eager to give up what might be the best job some of them will ever have.

So they might be absent from the Assembly for a confidence vote that could bring down the government.

DaveW

and

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/politique/politique-quebecoise/201310/...

L'enquête réalisée du 17 au 21 octobre, auprès de 1000 internautes, montre que la satisfaction à l'endroit du gouvernement Marois n'a pas bougé depuis l'été. En dépit de la flopée d'annonces économiques des dernières semaines, 61% des Québécois se disent toujours mécontents de la gouvernance à Québec, exactement le même niveau qu'en septembre. La proportion d'électeurs «satisfaits» reste à 35%, identique au niveau de septembre, un point de mieux seulement qu'en août. «On se serait attendu à ce que la satisfaction augmente, or elle ne bouge absolument pas», observe Rivest. Les Québécois sont aussi moroses que par le passé, 62% croient que le Québec va dans la mauvaise direction.

Pour le sondeur, ce niveau de satisfaction est déterminant et constitue un plafond de verre au-delà duquel un parti politique peut difficilement parvenir. Ainsi, aux dernières élections, les libéraux de Jean Charest avaient rejoint, grosso modo, le niveau de satisfaction du gouvernement libéral dans les suffrages exprimés.Tongue out